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GDP continues to grow,   inflation completes ten years in the target range and net debt fell by almost half

Under Lula and Dilma, Brazil became richer   - by any measure. The evolution of GDP (the sum of all wealth produced by the country in a given year) increased. Total real GDP grew by 45%: from R$ 3.3 trillion in 2002 to R$ 4.8 trillion in 2013, when measured at 2013 prices, according to Central Bank data. In the same period real GDP per capita grew 29%, from R$ 18,000 in 2002 to R $ 24,100 in 2013, also the 2013 prices.

Average inflation fell by 37% between the FHC and Lula governments, and remains within the target with Dilma. Brazil continues to record a primary surplus. The accounts are balanced: the debt with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is zeroed out and net debt fell by almost half between 2002 and 2013.

Brazil under Lula and Dilma controlled inflation, generated more than 20 million jobs and tripled the size of GDP  Photo: Adalberto Marques / MI

Lula, in 2008, and Dilma, in 2011/2012, faced two distinct moments of serious international crisis that still plagues much of the world. Still, the fiscal soundness of Brazil created a firm foundation for public and private investment, economic growth and job creation.

Public investment doubled over the same period, from 1.3% to 2.7% of GDP, mainly driven by AGP and the Minha Casa, Minha Vida program. Foreign direct investment rose from $ 18.8 billion to $ 64 billion. Moreover, with Lula and Dilma, per capita income has grown fourfold, from US $ 2,919 in 2002 to US $ 11,229 in 2013.

Economia forte é a base do desenvolvimento sustentável do Brasil


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AGP spends R$ 1.3 trillion on construction projects and state companies’ investment sets a new record
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What was a barrier to growth turned into a growth opportunity. While the previous governments abandoned the construction and maintenance of highways, railways, ports, airports, hydroelectric plants and refineries, the solution of the democratic and popular government was to give the country the necessary infrastructure to grow more and more. The Growth Acceleration Program (AGP) turned ​​Brazil into a huge construction site, based on public investment and public-private partnerships. A total of R$ 1.5 trillion was invested between 2007 and 2014. In ten years, investment by state companies had real growth of 205%, from R$ 37.2 billion in 2003 to a record high of R$ 113,.5 billion in 2013.

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The AGP turned ​​Brazil into a site filled with strategic projects such as the recovery of the port of São Francisco do Sul (RS) Photo: Blog do Planalto / PR

Government infrastructure concession grants by the Dilma Administration are increasingly attracting private capital, both domestic and foreign. There were 18 auctions in the areas of transport, energy, oil and gas in 2013, to generate employment and income and boost the economy as a whole. The contracts will bring a total of R$ 80.3 billion in investment: R$ 28.7 billion in highway construction, R$ 26.6 billion in power generation, R$ 8.7 billion in transmission lines, R$ 7 billion in airports, R$ 6.9 billion in oil and gas (only under the Minimum Exploration Program, which evaluates the commercial potential of the bid fields) and R$ 2.4 billion in port improvements.

Investimento: Crescimento Elevado

Investimento: Setor Público

Investimento em Infraestrutura

 

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Palavra do Lula
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The state, the devil yesterday, is now the savior of today

"We made it possible to  the use of part of our reserves to finance exports, reduced the reserve requirements for banks to increase lending capacity, with the same objective promoted the purchase of some private banks and local banks by federal government banks. We created tax incentives for the automotive industry that revitalized this sector and we will finance the construction of one million houses over the next two years.  We have not hesitated to draw on all instruments of state power to mitigate the effects of the crisis. That same State, that some wanted to minimize and render inoperative now has many of these same people knocking on the door asking for help. Yesterday's demon became today’s savior. "

 


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Palavra da Dilma
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We are proving that it is possible to reconcile fiscal strength with investment

"We have achieved in Brazil a considerable institutional maturity, which helps us realize that it is possible to reconcile fiscal strength and investment. That is something that is not contradictory, because what helps us to withstand the crisis and to be able to have a kind of protection against the effects of this crisis is the fact that we have this team, fiscal soundness of the federal government and the states ( ...) that for their efforts opened fiscal space investment, and demonstrate that the country can afford to invest and maintain the principles of stability. This is very important in the world we live in, because it is not common. We went through  a long process of learning, two lost decades, in our recent history.  But the experience of those two decades at least contributed to our understanding that the path to take today is fiscal responsibility, the ability to be consistent macro-economically, and that with stability we can help Brazil grow. "


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Source URL: http://www.brasildamudanca.com.br/en/macroeconomia/macroeconomics

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